The midterm elections might be more than a year away, but a new Rasmussen poll shows that a razor-thin plurality of voters currently favors Democrat House candidates over Republican ones.

If elections for Congress were held today, 45% of likely U.S. voters say they would choose the Democrat candidate, while 44% say they would choose the Republican, according to the survey. Another 9% say they would pick another candidate and 3% are not sure.

Ninety-three percent of the poll’s respondents say they are likely to vote in next year’s congressional midterm elections, including 73% who say they are very likely to vote in the 2026 midterms. Democrats lead the GOP, 48% to 45%, among very likely voters.

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